Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.003557 0.003887 0.004240 0.004647 0.005103 0.005600 0.006184
2025-11-30 0.003026 0.003495 0.004032 0.004696 0.005502 0.006456 0.007680
2025-12-07 0.002766 0.003317 0.003978 0.004839 0.005944 0.007333 0.009240
2025-12-14 0.002492 0.003073 0.003796 0.004775 0.006087 0.007819 0.010331
2025-12-21 0.002263 0.002854 0.003612 0.004673 0.006150 0.008181 0.011270
2025-12-28 0.002094 0.002695 0.003485 0.004624 0.006264 0.008606 0.012334
2026-01-04 0.001979 0.002596 0.003426 0.004656 0.006485 0.009196 0.013706
2026-01-11 0.001851 0.002466 0.003311 0.004594 0.006556 0.009561 0.014761
2026-01-18 0.001745 0.002359 0.003219 0.004554 0.006650 0.009961 0.015916
2026-01-25 0.001646 0.002254 0.003122 0.004496 0.006707 0.010301 0.017005
2026-02-01 0.001576 0.002187 0.003074 0.004507 0.006871 0.010831 0.018499
2026-02-08 0.001496 0.002099 0.002989 0.004452 0.006918 0.011161 0.019662
2026-02-15 0.001407 0.001998 0.002881 0.004358 0.006906 0.011408 0.020750
2026-02-22 0.001358 0.001953 0.002857 0.004404 0.007140 0.012133 0.022942
2026-03-01 0.001331 0.001941 0.002885 0.004535 0.007538 0.013211 0.026086
2026-03-08 0.001267 0.001866 0.002806 0.004476 0.007579 0.013600 0.027767
2026-03-15 0.001201 0.001785 0.002711 0.004383 0.007547 0.013835 0.029127
2026-03-22 0.001150 0.001724 0.002647 0.004338 0.007601 0.014253 0.031012
2026-03-29 0.001116 0.001690 0.002625 0.004367 0.007803 0.015008 0.033904
2026-04-05 0.001069 0.001632 0.002559 0.004310 0.007826 0.015373 0.035844
2026-04-12 0.001029 0.001583 0.002506 0.004272 0.007884 0.015824 0.038119
2026-04-19 0.000989 0.001532 0.002446 0.004219 0.007904 0.016187 0.040221
2026-04-26 0.000961 0.001501 0.002421 0.004229 0.008060 0.016893 0.043515